Which electoral outcome did the Canada338 model MOST accurately predict: the Ontario 2018 election, the Quebec 2018 election, or the Alberta 2019 election? Explain your choice using exact statistics drawn from the website.

Lab #6: Polls

Step 1: Consult the website https://blog.338canada.com/2018/11/welcome-to-338canada.html#metho

Step: 2: Answer the following questions in this document. Write one short paragraph (minimum 100 words) for each answer.

1. Of the demographic data used in the Canada338 model (languages, age density curves, household income, etc.), which factor do you think is most useful in determining voting patterns? Explain your answer
2. Are you convinced by the method (and formula) used in weighing polls? Explain your answer.
3. Why is it sometimes difficult to trace the impact of star candidates in electoral polls?
4. Which electoral outcome did the Canada338 model MOST accurately predict: the Ontario 2018 election, the Quebec 2018 election, or the Alberta 2019 election? Explain your choice using exact statistics drawn from the website.
5. Go to the “The site divides Canada into seven regions” section, click on “Quebec”, locate your home district for the 2019 federal election, and click on this district’s name. Using the information available about your district, and using your own observations of the 2019 federal election, explain why the winning party or candidate in your district defeated its rivals.